Type
Weapon Case
Listings sourced from waxpeer — updated in real time.
1 listing found
Last price updated 55m ago
Weapon Case
Base Grade
Weapon Cases
Gallery Case Key
Armory
30 items
Opening one returns €0.61 in expected value against a €0.60 weapon case — about 1.0× its price. That is an average across many openings, not a forecast for one: most of it sits in rare drops the majority of openings never produce.
| Rarity | Items | Chance | Per item |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Special | 13 | 0.26% | 1 in 5000 |
| Covert | 2 | 0.64% | 1 in 312 |
| Classified | 3 | 3.2% | 1 in 94 |
| Restricted | 5 | 16.0% | 1 in 31 |
| Mil-Spec | 7 | 79.9% | 1 in 9 |
Dearest drop: Kukri Knife | Fade at €134.80. Cheapest: MP5-SD | Statics at €0.11.
Every skin here belongs to The Gallery Collection.
The Gallery Case is among the more recent additions and remains in the active drop pool, so supply continues to arrive and its price stays near the floor while that holds. Recent cases tend to attract attention disproportionate to their value simply because they are new; the numbers above are the corrective to that.
Every item in the drop table contributes to the figure above in proportion to its own published chance, priced at the cheapest live listing found across the marketplaces this site compares. That means the number reflects what you could actually sell a drop for today, not a catalogue value or a historical average. It also means it moves, and the refresh on this page recomputes it.
Read the odds table from the bottom up. The Mil-Spec tier is four in five openings and contributes almost nothing. The Covert pair and the rare-special pool together account for under 1% of openings but carry most of the expected value. Any case, however cheap, follows that shape — which is why the average is a poor guide to a single opening.
A recently released case sits in a market that has not finished forming. Early prices reflect scarcity and attention rather than settled demand, and both the case price and the prices of its contents can move sharply in the first months. The expected value above is computed from whatever the market says today, which makes it accurate and also makes it more volatile than the same figure on a case that has been trading for years. Re-checking it later is worth doing, and the refresh on this page recomputes the whole table from current listings rather than serving a cached figure.